Analyzing the Stock Market (Part 1) by Arkaitz Arteaga
The whole foundation of technical analysis is supported under the idea that share prices move in patterns determined by how the market sells and buys stock as a whole. It takes the entire market as a collective person that has a resounding trading pattern. This is primarily based on market psychology and past market behavior. This also accounts for historical events like natural disasters or economic crises and how the company’s stock movements have reacted accordingly to each of these events. This study of the market is vital for any successful technical trader. The key to good trading for technical analysts is to know the best times to enter the market and how long to hold their position so to make a profit.
When a trader understands these patterns they can generally predict how share prices will turn and use this knowledge to their favor. This will tell them what items to add or remove from their portfolio. Generally if traders are wrong about their predictions they should keep fail-safes and have a viable exit strategy. This is primarily what stop losses are. Traders will have a minimum price of where a stock can reach before they exit to cut their losses.
There are many indicators when it comes to studying charts. The main and most common indicators are based on ‘Support’ and ‘Resistance’. Most stock prices fluctuate up and down, so when a stock is moving down is does not technically indicate that it is on a down trend and vice-versa if it is moving up. Stocks generally move in wave patterns and remain between their support and resistance. If a stock breaks either then it is said to have a new support/resistance and this price can be predicted. These are times when a lot of traders will have to choose to hold their positions or leave.
Charts
Technical analysis is strongly dependent on studying charts to track stock movements. Bar Charts are commonly used for beginner traders. A bar chart will generally consist of bars which show the opening and closing price and whether the price has fallen or risen.
Another, more useful chart is the candlestick chart. This is a Japanese form of technical analysis that has growing popularity in the west. It is said to be more accurate in predicting price movements compared to bar charts. Each candlestick shows the stocks opening and closing prices in the ‘candle’ and also shows the highs and lows of the day in the ‘flint’. Red or black candles indicate that the stock closed lower then it opened and white or green ‘candles’ indicate the opposite. Each of these candlesticks is an indicator of future movements. A small red bodied candle with small flints is a sign of a downward trend. A green bodied stock with short flint however indicates an upward movement is coming. There are many other candlestick indicators like shooting-stars and hang-mans that predict different movements.
About the Author
I have a degree in Computer Systems Engineering. I’ve been working in the world of forex trading and stock market investing. I also have been building a variety of websites for the last 3 years.